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Saudi Arabia

Group H Elo 1,616
Tournament Outcome

Saudi Arabia wins the World Cup in 0.0% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

0.0%
Win tournament
0.1%
Reach final
0.7%
Reach semi
2.8%
Reach quarter
Path Through The Tournament

How far does Saudi Arabia go?

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32
33.1%
Round of 16
8.8%
Quarter-finals
2.8%
Semi-finals
0.7%
Final
0.1%
World Cup Champions
0.0%
Goals

Average per match across all simulations

1.08
Goals scored / match
2.12
Goals conceded / match
3.5
Matches played (avg)
Group H

Saudi Arabia's opponents

The other three teams sharing Group H. Click for their full forecasts.

Spain
R16 68%
12.9% win
Uruguay
R16 31%
0.8% win
Cape Verde Islands
R16 21%
0.2% win