Cape Verde Islands at the 2026 World Cup: Forecast & Predictions

Tournament Outcome

Cape Verde Islands wins the World Cup in 0.2% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

0.2%

Win tournament

1.0%

Reach final

3.1%

Reach semi

8.3%

Reach quarter

Path Through The Tournament

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32

57.3%

Round of 16

21.0%

Quarter-finals

8.3%

Semi-finals

3.1%

Final

1.0%

World Cup Champions

0.2%

Goals

1.18

Goals scored / match

1.75

Goals conceded / match

3.9

Matches played (avg)

Group H

The other three teams sharing Group H. Click for their full forecasts.

Spain

R16 68%

12.9% win

Uruguay

R16 31%

0.8% win

Saudi Arabia

R16 9%

0.0% win