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Switzerland

Group B Elo 1,769
Tournament Outcome

Switzerland wins the World Cup in 1.3% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

1.3%
Win tournament
4.2%
Reach final
10.2%
Reach semi
22.9%
Reach quarter
Path Through The Tournament

How far does Switzerland go?

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32
92.4%
Round of 16
48.9%
Quarter-finals
22.9%
Semi-finals
10.2%
Final
4.2%
World Cup Champions
1.3%
Goals

Average per match across all simulations

2.39
Goals scored / match
1.51
Goals conceded / match
4.9
Matches played (avg)
Group B

Switzerland's opponents

The other three teams sharing Group B. Click for their full forecasts.

Canada
R16 42%
0.6% win
Qatar
R16 15%
0.0% win
Bosnia & Herzegovina
R16 9%
0.0% win