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Qatar

Group B Elo 1,602
Tournament Outcome

Qatar wins the World Cup in 0.0% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

0.0%
Win tournament
0.2%
Reach final
0.8%
Reach semi
3.2%
Reach quarter
Path Through The Tournament

How far does Qatar go?

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32
50.3%
Round of 16
14.9%
Quarter-finals
3.2%
Semi-finals
0.8%
Final
0.2%
World Cup Champions
0.0%
Goals

Average per match across all simulations

1.33
Goals scored / match
2.06
Goals conceded / match
3.7
Matches played (avg)
Group B

Qatar's opponents

The other three teams sharing Group B. Click for their full forecasts.

Switzerland
R16 49%
1.3% win
Canada
R16 42%
0.6% win
Bosnia & Herzegovina
R16 9%
0.0% win