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Paraguay

Group D Elo 1,670
Tournament Outcome

Paraguay wins the World Cup in 0.2% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

0.2%
Win tournament
0.9%
Reach final
2.8%
Reach semi
7.9%
Reach quarter
Path Through The Tournament

How far does Paraguay go?

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32
52.1%
Round of 16
20.8%
Quarter-finals
7.9%
Semi-finals
2.8%
Final
0.9%
World Cup Champions
0.2%
Goals

Average per match across all simulations

1.21
Goals scored / match
1.90
Goals conceded / match
3.9
Matches played (avg)
Group D

Paraguay's opponents

The other three teams sharing Group D. Click for their full forecasts.

Australia
R16 43%
1.4% win
Türkiye
R16 41%
1.3% win
USA
R16 32%
0.5% win