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Panama

Group L Elo 1,704
Tournament Outcome

Panama wins the World Cup in 0.3% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

0.3%
Win tournament
1.1%
Reach final
3.3%
Reach semi
8.7%
Reach quarter
Path Through The Tournament

How far does Panama go?

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32
56.4%
Round of 16
22.9%
Quarter-finals
8.7%
Semi-finals
3.3%
Final
1.1%
World Cup Champions
0.3%
Goals

Average per match across all simulations

1.55
Goals scored / match
2.06
Goals conceded / match
4.0
Matches played (avg)
Group L

Panama's opponents

The other three teams sharing Group L. Click for their full forecasts.

England
R16 54%
3.6% win
Croatia
R16 43%
1.6% win
Ghana
R16 12%
0.0% win