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Haiti

Group C Elo 1,561
Tournament Outcome

Haiti wins the World Cup in 0.0% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

0.0%
Win tournament
0.1%
Reach final
0.5%
Reach semi
1.8%
Reach quarter
Path Through The Tournament

How far does Haiti go?

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32
31.0%
Round of 16
6.8%
Quarter-finals
1.8%
Semi-finals
0.5%
Final
0.1%
World Cup Champions
0.0%
Goals

Average per match across all simulations

1.11
Goals scored / match
2.25
Goals conceded / match
3.4
Matches played (avg)
Group C

Haiti's opponents

The other three teams sharing Group C. Click for their full forecasts.

Morocco
R16 56%
5.0% win
Brazil
R16 44%
1.8% win
Scotland
R16 15%
0.1% win