Egypt at the 2026 World Cup: Forecast & Predictions

Tournament Outcome

Egypt wins the World Cup in 1.4% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

1.4%

Win tournament

4.6%

Reach final

9.8%

Reach semi

21.6%

Reach quarter

Path Through The Tournament

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32

76.5%

Round of 16

42.7%

Quarter-finals

21.6%

Semi-finals

9.8%

Final

4.6%

World Cup Champions

1.4%

Goals

1.52

Goals scored / match

1.47

Goals conceded / match

4.6

Matches played (avg)

Group G

The other three teams sharing Group G. Click for their full forecasts.

Iran

R16 41%

1.2% win

Belgium

R16 39%

1.1% win

New Zealand

R16 16%

0.1% win