Austria at the 2026 World Cup: Forecast & Predictions

Tournament Outcome

Austria wins the World Cup in 0.5% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

0.5%

Win tournament

1.9%

Reach final

5.1%

Reach semi

12.1%

Reach quarter

Path Through The Tournament

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32

63.8%

Round of 16

25.9%

Quarter-finals

12.1%

Semi-finals

5.1%

Final

1.9%

World Cup Champions

0.5%

Goals

1.76

Goals scored / match

1.92

Goals conceded / match

4.1

Matches played (avg)

Group J

The other three teams sharing Group J. Click for their full forecasts.

Argentina

R16 61%

8.4% win

Algeria

R16 29%

0.8% win

Jordan

R16 11%

0.1% win