← All teams

Algeria

Group J Elo 1,747
Tournament Outcome

Algeria wins the World Cup in 0.8% of simulations

Based on 10,000 independent simulations of the entire 2026 tournament — group stage, knockouts, extra time, penalties.

0.8%
Win tournament
2.6%
Reach final
6.4%
Reach semi
14.2%
Reach quarter
Path Through The Tournament

How far does Algeria go?

Probability of reaching each stage of the tournament. Numbers cumulate — the 100% baseline is "starts the tournament".

Round of 32
69.1%
Round of 16
29.2%
Quarter-finals
14.2%
Semi-finals
6.4%
Final
2.6%
World Cup Champions
0.8%
Goals

Average per match across all simulations

1.63
Goals scored / match
1.73
Goals conceded / match
4.3
Matches played (avg)
Group J

Algeria's opponents

The other three teams sharing Group J. Click for their full forecasts.

Argentina
R16 61%
8.4% win
Austria
R16 26%
0.5% win
Jordan
R16 11%
0.1% win